"" MINDD - DEFENDA SEUS DIREITOS: BRAZIL CAN'T TAKE IT ANYMORE!BRAZILIAN PEOPLE RESHAPE THE COUNTRY'S POLITICAL MAPBrazil's 2026 Presidential Election — First-Round Final Results

Pesquisar este blog

segunda-feira, 5 de outubro de 2026

BRAZIL CAN'T TAKE IT ANYMORE!BRAZILIAN PEOPLE RESHAPE THE COUNTRY'S POLITICAL MAPBrazil's 2026 Presidential Election — First-Round Final Results

 

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH! BRAZIL CAN'T TAKE IT ANYMORE!

BRAZIL'S 2026 GENERAL ELECTION: THE BRAZILIAN PEOPLE RESHAPE THE COUNTRY'S POLITICAL MAP

Final First-Round Results: Presidency, Chamber of Deputies, Federal Senate and State Governments — the numbers and what the voters' choices reveal about Brazil's new balance of political power.


PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
FINAL FIRST-ROUND RESULT

100% of polling sections counted

Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)
47.03%

56,104,503 votes

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
45.16%

53,879,538 votes

FINAL DIFFERENCE:
Flávio Bolsonaro finished the first round 2,224,965 votes ahead of Lula, a difference of 1.87 percentage points.

FINAL PRESIDENTIAL RESULTS

Candidate Party Votes %
Flávio Bolsonaro PL 56,104,503 47.03%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva PT 53,879,538 45.16%
Augusto Cury Avante 3,448,569 2.89%
Renan Santos Missão 2,675,887 2.24%
Ronaldo Caiado PSD 2,605,148 2.18%
Romeu Zema NOVO 326,488 0.27%

NATIONAL VOTING TOTALS

Valid votes: 119,300,788

Blank ballots: 2,300,798

Null ballots: 3,674,249

Total turnout: 125,275,835 voters

Abstentions: 33,469,244 voters — 21.08%

THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION GOES TO A SECOND ROUND

FLÁVIO BOLSONARO (PL)
×
LUIZ INÁCIO LULA DA SILVA (PT)

OCTOBER 25, 2026

CHAMBER OF DEPUTIES: PL BECOMES THE LARGEST CAUCUS

The legislative election shows that the political shift reflected in the presidential contest was not an isolated phenomenon. The PL elected 121 federal deputies, becoming the largest party caucus in Brazil's Chamber of Deputies.

Party/Federation Deputies Elected
PL121
PT-PCdoB-PV Federation82
União Brasil46
PSD43
PP41
Republicanos41
MDB36
Podemos27
PSB15
PSOL/Rede14

The PL's 121 deputies represent approximately 23.6% of the 513 seats in the Chamber. The party increased its representation by 24 seats compared with the previous election.

This does not give the PL an absolute majority: 257 seats are required. It does, however, substantially strengthen the party's role in coalition-building, legislative negotiations and the formation of congressional majorities.

FEDERAL SENATE: A HISTORIC SHIFT IN THE BALANCE OF POWER

Of the 54 Senate seats contested in 2026, the PL won 19 — approximately 35.2% of all seats contested.

When these newly elected senators are added to PL senators whose terms continue beyond 2026, the party is projected to begin the next legislature with 28 of the Senate's 81 seats.

Party Projected 2027 Caucus
PL28
PT9
MDB8
PSD5
PSB4
NOVO3
PSDB2
Podemos2
Rede1
PDT1

If this projected composition is confirmed when the new legislature begins, the PL will have the largest single-party Senate caucus at the beginning of a legislature since Brazil's 1988 Constitution.

PARANÁ ELECTS FILIPE BARROS AND DELTAN DALLAGNOL TO THE FEDERAL SENATE

PL and NOVO win both Senate seats contested in Paraná.

Candidate Party Final Votes %
Filipe Barros PL 3,148,583 27.25%
Deltan Dallagnol NOVO 2,904,594 25.14%
Alexandre Curi Republicanos 1,947,135 16.85%
Gleisi Hoffmann PT 1,542,636 13.35%

Paraná voters elected Filipe Barros (PL) and Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO) to the two Federal Senate seats contested in the 2026 election. They defeated, among others, Alexandre Curi (Republicanos) and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT).

Barros and Dallagnol campaigned within the same political alliance built around Sergio Moro's candidacy for Governor of Paraná. Their election means that the two Senate seats renewed by Paraná in 2026 will be occupied by candidates from PL and NOVO.

Both men will serve their first terms as senators. Their eight-year mandates begin on February 1, 2027 and end on January 31, 2035.

THE PARANÁ RESULT IS PARTICULARLY SIGNIFICANT: the same electoral coalition that carried Sergio Moro to the governorship also succeeded in electing both of its leading Senate candidates, consolidating a substantial share of Paraná's representation in both the state and federal political arenas.

STATE GOVERNORS: FIRST-ROUND RESULTS BY PARTY

Twenty state gubernatorial contests were decided in the first round. The PL elected the largest number of governors at this stage.

Party Governors Elected States
PL5PR, RS, SC, RO, RR
PSD4AP, MA, PE, SE
PT3BA, CE, PI
Republicanos3MT, MG, SP
PP2PB, MS
MDB1GO
PSDB1AL
Podemos1PA

Seven gubernatorial contests remain to be decided in the second round: Acre, Amazonas, Tocantins, Rio Grande do Norte, the Federal District, Espírito Santo and Rio de Janeiro.

SERGIO MORO (PL) ELECTED GOVERNOR OF PARANÁ IN THE FIRST ROUND

Moro received more than 50% of the valid votes.

Sergio Moro (PL)
50.10%

3,127,911 votes

With 100% of the votes counted, Sergio Moro (PL) was elected Governor of Paraná in the first round. He received 3,127,911 votes, equivalent to 50.10% of the valid votes.

A former federal judge, former Minister of Justice and Public Security, and senator on leave, Moro ran for Governor as part of an alliance involving Podemos, PL and NOVO, with Edson Vasconcelos (PL) as his running mate for Vice Governor.

ANALYSIS: WHAT DID THE BRAZILIAN PEOPLE SAY ON OCTOBER 4?

The first-round result cannot be understood solely through the 2.22-million-vote difference between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula in the presidential election. When the Presidency, Chamber of Deputies, Federal Senate and state governments are examined together, a broader redistribution of political power becomes visible.

In the presidential contest, Flávio Bolsonaro received 47.03% of the valid votes against Lula's 45.16%. Brazil nevertheless remains electorally divided, and the Presidency will be decided only in the second round.

In Congress, however, the consequences are more structural. The PL emerged as the largest caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, with 121 seats, while its projected Senate caucus reaches 28 of 81 senators.

The Senate result is particularly significant. The PL won 19 of the 54 seats contested in 2026. Senators elected in 2026 will serve eight-year terms, meaning that the institutional consequences of this election extend far beyond the next presidential term.

Paraná provides a particularly clear example of this broader electoral movement: Sergio Moro won the governorship in the first round, while Filipe Barros and Deltan Dallagnol won the state's two Senate seats.

THE SO-CALLED “BLUE WAVE” THEREFORE HAS AN OBJECTIVELY MEASURABLE INSTITUTIONAL DIMENSION.

It can be seen simultaneously in Flávio Bolsonaro's first-place presidential finish, the PL's emergence as the largest caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, its historic expansion in the Federal Senate, its first-place performance in first-round gubernatorial victories, and results such as Paraná, where the political alliance surrounding Sergio Moro won the governorship and both Senate seats contested in 2026.

This does not mean that a single political party controls Brazil's institutions. Brazil's political system remains fragmented and coalition-dependent.

An absolute majority in the Chamber requires 257 of 513 deputies, while an absolute majority in the Senate requires 41 of 81 senators. A constitutional amendment requires three-fifths of the members of each chamber, in two rounds of voting: 308 deputies and 49 senators.

The institutional significance of the October 4 result therefore lies not in absolute one-party control, but in the redistribution of bargaining power, legislative influence, coalition-building capacity, agenda-setting power and the ability to support, block or condition measures requiring qualified majorities.

The Brazilian people will decide the Presidency in the second round on October 25, 2026. But a substantial part of Brazil's political architecture for the coming years was already reshaped by voters in the first round.


SOURCES AND REFERENCES

BRAZIL. Superior Electoral Court (TSE). 2026 General Election Results. Brasília, DF: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, 2026.

BRAZIL. Chamber of Deputies. PL emerges ahead in the election for the Chamber of Deputies, with 121 elected representatives. Brasília, DF: Agência Câmara de Notícias, October 4, 2026.

BRAZIL. Federal Senate. PL will have the largest Senate caucus at the beginning of a legislature since 1988. Brasília, DF: Agência Senado, October 4, 2026.

BRAZIL. Federal Senate. Paraná elects Filipe Barros and Deltan Dallagnol. Brasília, DF: Agência Senado, October 4, 2026.

BRAZIL. Superior Electoral Court (TSE). Sergio Moro (PL) elected Governor of Paraná in the first round. Brasília, DF: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, October 5, 2026.

Nenhum comentário: